Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.177230 0.209429 0.245465 0.288738 0.339241 0.396274 0.465521
2025-08-10 0.123634 0.163205 0.212268 0.277377 0.361311 0.465657 0.605000
2025-08-17 0.092129 0.132316 0.186159 0.263191 0.370137 0.512875 0.717281
2025-08-24 0.075887 0.116828 0.175283 0.264199 0.395285 0.580536 0.861084
2025-08-31 0.061750 0.101115 0.160571 0.256027 0.404354 0.624672 0.974914
2025-09-07 0.053581 0.092685 0.154768 0.259306 0.429419 0.693336 1.130992
2025-09-14 0.046555 0.084731 0.148196 0.259848 0.449389 0.755354 1.282601
2025-09-21 0.040076 0.076529 0.139819 0.255842 0.460753 0.803994 1.416959
2025-09-28 0.035126 0.070175 0.133553 0.254292 0.475529 0.859043 1.566890
2025-10-05 0.032914 0.068511 0.135297 0.267026 0.516535 0.962578 1.810495
2025-10-12 0.031425 0.067982 0.138982 0.283642 0.566236 1.086069 2.101661
2025-10-19 0.029256 0.065728 0.138999 0.293091 0.603289 1.189944 2.366827
2025-10-26 0.025973 0.060863 0.133634 0.292138 0.621974 1.265095 2.593298
2025-11-02 0.022215 0.054365 0.124061 0.281428 0.620182 1.301545 2.750909
2025-11-09 0.018748 0.047899 0.113549 0.267127 0.608909 1.317601 2.869209
2025-11-16 0.016910 0.044935 0.110284 0.268160 0.630255 1.401991 3.136120
2025-11-23 0.014703 0.040663 0.103368 0.259872 0.629893 1.440614 3.310463
2025-11-30 0.013483 0.038682 0.101549 0.263197 0.656106 1.538864 3.623565
2025-12-07 0.012249 0.036442 0.098756 0.263747 0.675843 1.624772 3.918171
2025-12-14 0.010931 0.033731 0.094364 0.259683 0.683951 1.685120 4.160971
2025-12-21 0.009882 0.031592 0.091132 0.258112 0.697935 1.760402 4.446081
2025-12-28 0.009542 0.031475 0.093292 0.271028 0.750036 1.931232 4.975035
2026-01-04 0.009360 0.031808 0.096738 0.287882 0.814308 2.137895 5.611006